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New Mexico Lobos vs Boise State Broncos Predictions, Pick, Odds and Analysis

Thursday night college football continues in conference play with the New Mexico Lobos vs the Boise State Broncos. With one loss a piece, if you’re betting this game then you best get the predictions of how it’ll play out.

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New Mexico Lobos vs Boise State Broncos

When: September 14, 2017, 8:00 PM ET

Where: Albertsons Stadium

Spread: Boise State -16.5

Over/Under: 58.5

Moneyline: Boise State -670 vs New Mexico +520

New Mexico Lobos Betting

There’s not a whole lot of love in the media for the New Mexico Lobos lately, even after they finished 9-4 last year.

Considering they started last year at 2-3, with a home loss to the then 19th ranked Boise State Broncos, you’d think they’d have gained some respect heading into this year’s season.

Nevertheless, the Lobos are trying to make some waves in the college football rankings, but fell short in their most recent game against New Mexico State on Saturday.

UNM was inconsistent on both sides of the ball, and didn’t score their first touchdown until the 4th quarter when they were already trailing 30-5.

Now, they face one of the toughest challenges of the season in playing against the Broncos, but they hope to get back on track despite the loss.

Quarterback Tevaka Tuioti will start this game; Tuioti came in as backup against New Mexico State after the Lobos went up 30-5.

Tuioti answered the call by 10 of 19 for 151 yards and 2 touchdowns, and almost leading the Lobos to an unlikely victory.

Nevertheless, that was at home game and there’s no certainty he’ll be able to perform as well on the road against a rough crowd.

Much of the Lobos success will come down to New Mexico’s defense that can hopefully make things easier for Tuioti.

If the defense can keep the Broncos under 20 points, they have a shot at getting a win and quiet the naysayers.

Boise State Broncos Betting

It was an unusual loss for the Broncos against the 20th ranked Washington State on Saturday. Why? For starters, the game went into triple overtime.

Nevertheless, the Broncos get some credit for hanging in there with a team that many expect to accomplish big things this year.

Despite the loss, the Broncos showed that they might be ready for national relevance after a couple of bad seasons.

Boise State lost their last home game to the Lobos, which is something that may have them irked heading into this match.

The Broncos also have to bounce right back from their latest loss; there’s really no time to wallow in disappointment against a Lobos team that are in the run to win the division this season.

Boise State allowed the Washington State Cougars to come back from a 31-10 deficit in the 4th quarter and committed a few critical mistakes.

Things started to go downhill after quarterback Brett Rypien was sacked by Washington State linebacker Frankie Luvu and defensive tackle Hercules Mata’afa on BSU’s second possession of the first quarter.

Later on, near the end of the first quarter, Luvu crashed through the Broncos’ offensive line, pummeling Rypien for a bone-shattering 6-yard loss.

It wasn’t an easy ride for backup quarterback Montell Cozart either, but he faired pretty well. However,  after an attempted shovel pass as he was being tackled with under 6 minutes left in the fourth, which led to Washington State score with 5:51 remaining, the Broncos fell to pieces.

The Cougars recovered a WSU punt with 2:51 to go on the BSU 24. Four plays later the game was tied 31-31 with 1:44 on the clock after a 6-yard TD pass from backup WSU QB Tyler Hilinski to running back Jamal Morrow.

The Broncos were sloppy in holding on to the ball. A fact that coach Bryan Harson recognized: “We’ve got to eliminate the turnovers.” Harson said, “At the quarterback position as well, you get hit, you’ve got to hang onto the ball. Running backs get hit, you’ve got to hang onto the ball. Anybody that has the ball on our team, we’ve to take care of it and got to hang onto it.”

New Mexico vs Boise State Betting Trends

  • New Mexico is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
  • New Mexico is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 12 of New Mexico's last 17 games
  • Boise State is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
  • Boise State is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
  • Boise State is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games at home

Here’s a recap of the game:

Expert Picks:

  • ATS Pick: The Broncos are 16.5 point favorites in this game, take the Lobos on the plus.
  • SU Pick: Boise State has won 7 of their 8 all-time meetings, take the Broncos straight up.
  • Over/Under Pick: The over/under for this game is at 58.5. Since both teams aren’t very good defensively, take the over.