NFL football is just days away and with preseason mostly done, it’s easier to tell how many games will each team win in their respective divisions.
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There’s still time to bet on the futures, so keep reading to get a better picture of how to bet on the NFC total wins for the season.
NFC North Total Wins Projections
The Packers have historically dominated the NFC North, winning the division on six occasions in the last 10 years.
However, this year the Lions and Vikings are poised to claim the title. Can the Packers win the division for a seventh time, or will another team end their reign.
Chicago Bears
The Bears are expected to win 5.5 games this year, which seems high given the amount of bad decisions they made during the offseason.
Chicago no longer has Jay Cutler and wide receiver Alshon Jeffries, which practically leaves second year running back Jordan Howard as their only consistent offensive player.
The Bears drafted North Carolina quarterback Mitch Trubisky, but he’s still got a ways to go in settling in the pros. That’s why Chicago announced they’ll go with Mike Glennon, who they signed in free agency, to lead the offense.
Glennon, Jordan Howard, and Cameron Meredith seem to make up an interesting offense, but, they might lack the depth to make it work. To give credit where it’s due, Glennon has stepped up to the challenge and after last weekend’s win over the Titans, he seems ready to hit the ground running.
Nevertheless the Bears’ schedule is downright scary; before their bye, they’ll have faced the Falcons at home, the Bucs on the road, Steelers at home, Packers at home, Vikings at home, Ravens on the road, Panthers at home, and Saints on the road. Yikes! Hopefully, Glennon is still up to the task.
Over/Under Prediction: UNDER
Detroit Lions
The Lions are expected to win 8 games. Last year, the Lions won nine games and made it to the postseason. And, this year they’ll try to build on that success, hoping to challenge the Packers for the division title.
Detroit has a talented offense, but their defense is another story. Since Ndamukong Suh, the Lions’ defense, especially on the line, has been all too shaky.
Many of the problems I see with the Lions offense is its consistency. Golden Tate, Marvin Jones and Eric Ebron were up and down last year, and the running game depends on how healthy Ameer Abdullah stays.
However, if Detroit’s defense fills up the holes I referred to above, and Matthew Stafford plays as he did last year (now as the highest paid player in NFL history), the Lions will be in the run to win the division.
Also, if Jarrad Davis does have an impact early on to their defense, this team will be formidable.
The Lions’ schedule is tough however; the face the Cardinals, Giants, Falcons, Vikings, Panthers and Saints. All are great teams, but I believe the Lions will pull through.
Over/Under Prediction: OVER 9
Green Bay Packers
The Packers are expected to win 10 games. Last year, Green Bay got off to a slow start, but picked up steam later on to win six games and a trip to the playoffs.
This year, the Packers hope to hit the ground running to avoid last year’s late scramble. Considering they have one of the best offenses in the league, provided Aaron Rodgers is healthy, you can be certain they’re up to the task at hand.
Regardless of the high expectations that everyone has on Rodgers, he’s more than capable of leading this team to win at least 10 games.
Martellus Bennett joins Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb to Rodgers’ grab bag of targets. Bennett heads into this offense having won the Super Bowl with the Patriots last year.
Green Bay also bulked up the offense with Jamaal Williams at the running back position, and should complement Ty Montgomery for a good ground attack.
The Packers have a great test early on with games against the Seahawks at home and Falcons on the road. But, if they do get through these two games, I expect them to win more than 10 games.
Over/Under Prediction: OVER 10
Minnesota Vikings
Teddy Bridgewater’s knee injury last season, hobbled the Vikings in this year’s campaign. Nevertheless, they also have plenty of young talent to make some waves in the division.
Sam Bradford will remain as Minnesota’s starting quarterback this year, and third-stringer Taylor Heinicke has raised some eyebrows in the preseason by winning over San Francisco in a game-winning drive.
The Vikings are one of the premier defensive teams in the league. At their best, they’re practically impossible to win against.
On offense however, the suffered from inconsistencies especially at the running back and quarterback positions.
The biggest holes were at the offensive line, which failed to protect the quarterback; but, having taken on Riley Reiff and Mike Remmer it should make things better.
With Adrian Peterson not on the team anymore, Dalvin Cook is lined up as the new face of the franchise, but without a solid option as a quarterback, it might be a long season for the Vikings.
Over/Under Prediction: UNDER 8
NFC South Total Wins Projections
There’s been a different champion in the NFC South in the past two seasons and this year the division is expected to be even tougher.
Which team will make it, Falcons, Saints, Buccaneers, or Panthers? Keep reading to find out.
Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons are expected to win 9.5 games this year. It might seem like a low number, but given last year’s crushing loss to the Patriots in the Super Bowl, it’s not too far-fetched
Last year, Atlanta’s team won 11 games and finished with the second-best record in the NFC. With players such as Matt Ryan, Devonta Freeman, and Julio Jones, the Falcons have one of the best offenses in the NFL.
Nevertheless, the Falcons will have to do without Kyle Shanahan’s services, who moved on to lead San Francisco’s recovery. New offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian has some big shoes to fill and this was evident in the Falcons’ third preseason game.
Last year, the Falcons also had major defensive issues. If not for their terrific offense, I doubt they would’ve made it to the Super Bowl.
Atlanta did make some moves in the offseason to try to solve their problems on defense taking on Dontari Poe (free agency) and Takkarist McKinley (draft). But, it still remains to be seen how this defense will do.
The Falcons’ schedule is frighteningly similar to that of the Panthers’ of last year. The face the Bears on the road, the Packers at home, Lions on the road, and Bills at home before their bye.
After those, they have a stretch of games that include the Patriots, Cowboys and Seahawks.
The Falcons have my vote of confidence; I just don’t think they’ll win 11 games.
Over/Under Prediction: UNDER 10
Carolina Panthers
Carolina is expected to win 8.5 games this year. The Panthers are hoping to right their ship after a disastrous 2016 campaign that was lost from the get-go. With the addition of running back Christian McCaffrey, quarterback Cam Newton should have more flexibility to lead the offense.
However, there are still some unknowns on Newton’s shoulder and how its healed. If he has healed enough, I have confidence in this team’s capability to win games.
If the offensive line can do its part in protecting Newton, I expect the Panthers to have a season similar to that of 2015, when Newton received the league’s MVP award.
The Panthers are still a menace on defense; but, last year they didn’t do quite as well as they could have and gave up 402 points, which was the fifth most in the NFL.
But, with the additions of Julius Peppers, Charles Johnson, Mario Addison, Wes Horton and Daeshon Hall, as well as Star Lotulelei, Kawaan Short and Vernon Butler on the inside it’ll be a tough defense once more.
Their schedule does not favor them however; though they open against San Francisco, they then have two road games against the Bears and Tampa Bay, with a game against the Eagles in the middle.
Their real tests come against the Patriots and Lions on the road, and the Eagles at home. But, if they can stay consistent and focused, I expect this to be a successful season for them.
Over/Under Prediction: UNDER 9
New Orleans Saints
The Saints are expected to win 8 games this year. However, New Orleans has been one of my greatest disappointments for the past four or five season.
Since they won the Super Bowl in 2010, New Orleans’ team have turned into one of the league’s worst underachievers. And, the fact of the matter is things aren’t going to change much this season.
Though they’ve added Adrian Peterson and Alvin Kamara, there’s not much to this team. Marshon Lattimore was a fantastic first-round pick, but apparently they were aiming for Patrick Mahomes instead.
Offensively, it’s clear who runs this team: Drew Brees. He’s an outstanding quarterback, who almost always is at the top of most statistical categories, but without a team it’s never going to translate into wins.
The Saints have finished 7-9 in four of the last five seasons, and there’s no reason to believe they will do better this year even with Peterson on the offense.
Their schedule doesn’t favor them either; they open with a Monday Night Football match against the Vikings on the road, then it’s the Patriots they host and later on the Panthers and Dolphins before their bye. That’s tough
I don’t see NO winning more than eight games this season.
Over/Under Prediction: UNDER 8
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bucs are expected to win 8.5 games this season. Last year, Tampa Bay won nine games partly because of second year quarterback Jameis Winston’s performance and a great defense.
Tampa Bay signed Desean Jackson, one of the best in the game, and O.J. Howard who pairs up with Pro Bowler Mike Evans and Cameron Brate.
If the offense plays as they did last season, expect to see the Buccaneers in the playoffs.
They face the Dolphins first in Week 1, which isn’t such a tough matchup. Then they face the Bears at home and the Vikings on the road in Week 3.
Tampa Bay will win more than nine games this year.
Over/Under Prediction: OVER 9
NFC East Total Wins Projections
Dallas won the NFC East last year; this year, they have their sights set on winning it for a second time in a row. But, they have a tough challenge in the form of the Giants and Eagles, who are back in the midst of things and could end up top.
Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys are expected to win 9.5 games this year. Last season, Dallas won 13 games and had the best record in the NFC. However, the Packers pulled an upset in the Divisional round of the playoffs.
Ezequiel Elliot, who broke a ton of team records last season, will probably miss at least four games due to a domestic violence charge. Nevertheless, the Cowboys still have one of the best offensive lines in the league and should be able to pull through despite his absence with Darren McFadden in the backfield.
Head coach Jason Garrett may open up the playbook for Prescott this season, after spending most of last year throwing short passes. Expect to see big numbers from Dez Bryant and Jason Witten.
Prescott and Elliott have more experience this time around; But, I’m not confident Prescott will have another Pro Bowl year and Elliot will have to sort out his personal problems first.
On paper, Dallas looks like the team to beat in the NFC East. But, there are still plenty of questions left unanswered such as, can the offensive line stay healthy or will Dez Bryant dominate once more.
Dallas built up the defense with Taco Charlton, Chidobe Awuzie and Jourdan Lewis whom they grabbed with their first three picks. However, none of these guys are battle tested in the pros yet, so they still need some time in the trenches.
Their schedule isn’t too hairy if back-to-back road games early on against the Broncos and Cardinals don’t seem too much for you. So, while I expect Prescott to regress a little, I still see the Cowboys winning more than 10 games this year.
Over/Under Prediction: OVER 10
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is expected to win 8 games this year. Last season, the Eagles had a big start, but eventually ran out of steam and finished at the bottom of the division at 7-9.
Rookie QB Carson Wentz raised some eyebrows with his game and decision making, and should do even better this year.
They’ve also given Wentz some new pieces to work with the likes of Alshon Jeffery and Torrey Smith along with Mack Hollins, Donnel Pumphrey and Shelton Gibson whom they drafted.
The Eagles defense was a big liability last season, and part of the reason why they failed to finish over .500. But, the team has shored up the defense with additions like Chris Long, who won a Super Bowl with the New England Patriots last season.
The schedule is really tough with three of their first four games being on the road and a home game until late September.
However, if the defense holds up, I think the Eagles will surprise some teams and finish the season with more than eight wins.
Over/Under Prediction: OVER 8
New York Giants
The Giants are expected to win nine games this year. Last year, the Giants defense the priority, and things worked out because this led to a trip back into the playoffs.
With more experience under their belts, the defense should be able to keep the team in games. Players such as Jason Pierre-Paul, Damon Harrison and Landon Collins are top players and could have another great year.
Eli Manning should play better than last year, that is, if he gets enough pass protection. However, the fact remains that the offensive line wasn’t upgraded and Ereck Flowers still being on Eli’s blind side doesn’t give one too much confidence.
Odell Beckham Jr. is vying for a new contract, which should push him to gain big numbers. The ground attack is a bit of a concern because Paul Perkins is a big unknown, but we’ll just have to wait and see.
The Giants’ schedule has them up against potential playoff teams in the first seven games, four of them are also on the road, so it’s going to be jumpy ride road for New York.
Nevertheless, even if the Cowboys are the favorites to win the division, I believe the Giants will crown themselves as the NFC East champs.
Over/Under Prediction: OVER 9
Washington Redskins
The Redskins are expected to win 7.5 games. Washington lost their top two receivers during the offseason, DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garcon, and failed to lock Kirk Cousins up to a long-term contract.
However, they signed Terrelle Pryor at a bargain and Jamison Crowder, Jordan Reed and Josh Doctson could turn out to be great assets for Cousins’ air attack.
They also drafted Jonathan Allen, who could play a big role in the defense.
Their schedule doesn’t necessarily help them, with their bye coming before a game against the 49ers. They’re also play games against the AFC West and NFC West which is tough.
I don’t see the Redskins winning more than seven games given their limitations on offense.
Over/Under Prediction: UNDER 8
NFC West Total Wins Projections
Only five years ago, the NFC West was considered the most difficult division in the NFL. After last year however, it sunk to become one of the worst. In fact, the Seattle Seahawks were the only team in this division to make it to the playoffs.
This year, the Cardinals may have a bounce-back season. But, San Francisco and Los Angeles are still some years away from being competitive.
Arizona Cardinals
The Cardinals are expected to win 8 games. Last year, Arizona fell flat and missed the playoffs entirely after making it to the NFC Championship game the previous year.
This season, the Cardinals hope to prove that 2016 was a stumbling stone and expect to play much better.
With Carson Palmer, Larry Fitzgerald, and David Johnson, the Cardinals have the offensive weapons to dominate in the division.
However, I still have some questions with players such as Michael Floyd who lacks consistency and John Brown who didn’t play well at all last year.
It also seems like their defense is always dealing with injury problems to key players like Tyrann Mathieu.
They also lost some key players to free agency, but rebuilt the team with guys like Haason Reddick and Budda Baker.
Their schedule opens with a couple of road games, but further on in the season they have good opportunities for wins against the Jaguars, Rams, and Titans at home.
With a weak division such as this, I see no reason why this team shouldn’t win more than eight games.
Over/Under Prediction: OVER 8
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles is expected to win 5.5 games this season. The Rams kicked off last year strong, but just as quickly lost their final seven games of the season.
This led to Jeff Fisher being fired, despite having signed a contract extension during the season.
Then rookie quarterback Jarred Goff was handed the reigns midway through the season; so, the Rams probably have high expectations from their franchise quarterback this year.
Goff might lack targets for his passing game however; I don’t see Tavon Austin, Robert Woods, or Copper Kupp rising to meet the challenge.
Running back Todd Gurley also struggled last year, and only acquired 885 rushing yards and five touchdowns.
I expect Goff to take some further time in getting used to his position, so look for a run oriented attack from Los Angeles this season.
The Rams need to hit the ground running, but their schedule will not help with games against the Colts, Redskins, 49ers, and Jaguars before their bye.
Even though this is a weak division, I don’t see the Rams winning more than five games.
Over/Under Prediction: UNDER 6
San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers are expected to win 4.5 games this season. San Francisco is in a rebuild so expectations are quite low for the five-time Super Bowl champions.
The team lacks players in plenty of key positions: they don’t have a franchise quarterback, their running back spends as much time on the field as he does on injured list, and their receivers lack experience.
And, what used to be their strength, defense, is long gone. They added Solomon Thomas and Reuben Foster as first-round picks alongside DeForest Buckner and Arik Armstead who could, arguably, make this defense…decent.
Dontae Johnson, Eric Reid and Jimmie Ward, are also solid players in the back which, again, could make this defense good enough to win more than expected. Their schedule isn’t favoring either.
They open against Carolina at home, then it’s Seattle on the road in the second week, and finally it’s the Rams at home in Week 3.
It all goes uphill from there with three road games against the Cardinals, Colts, and Redskins.
Kyle Shanahan will need to work wonders for this team to be successful this year; but, stranger things have happened.
The 49ers are probably going to finish similar as last year, if not worse, so I don’t see them winning four games this year.
Over/Under Prediction: UNDER 5
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is expected to win 10.5 games this season. Last year, the Seahawks won the NFC West but were eliminated in the Divisional round of the playoffs.
Seattle has a talented offense and defense, but their offensive line has been a big stumbling stone for the past two seasons.
The team tried to tackle the problem in the offseason, but industry analysts don’t think it was enough and there weren’t any additions to the offensive line at the tackle position.
Seattle also took on three new guys at the safety position which opened up some questions on Earl Thomas and Kam Chancellor’s future.
The Seahawks have three road games in the first five weeks, but they’re good enough to go at the very least 3-2.
Also, there some easy pickings after the bye which gives me some confidence they’ll win more than expected.
If Seattle’s offensive line stays strong, the Seahawks will be hard to beat. But, if the line doesn’t improve, expect to see another early playoff exit.
The Seahawks will win more than 11 games this season and take the division crown once again.
Over/Under Prediction: OVER 10
